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Comparing Random forest and Kriging Methods for Surrogate Modeling
Blekinge Institute of Technology, Faculty of Computing.
2020 (English)Independent thesis Basic level (degree of Bachelor), 10 credits / 15 HE creditsStudent thesis
Abstract [en]

The issue with conducting real experiments in design engineering is the cost factor to find an optimal design that fulfills all design requirements and constraints. An alternate method of a real experiment that is performed by engineers is computer-aided design modeling and computer-simulated experiments. These simulations are conducted to understand functional behavior and to predict possible failure modes in design concepts. However, these simulations may take minutes, hours, days to finish. In order to reduce the time consumption and simulations required for design space exploration, surrogate modeling is used. \par

Replacing the original system is the motive of surrogate modeling by finding an approximation function of simulations that is quickly computed. The process of surrogate model generation includes sample selection, model generation, and model evaluation. Using surrogate models in design engineering can help reduce design cycle times and cost by enabling rapid analysis of alternative designs.\par

Selecting a suitable surrogate modeling method for a given function with specific requirements is possible by comparing different surrogate modeling methods. These methods can be compared using different application problems and evaluation metrics. In this thesis, we are comparing the random forest model and kriging model based on prediction accuracy. The comparison is performed using mathematical test functions.

This thesis conducted quantitative experiments to investigate the performance of methods. After experimental analysis, it is found that the kriging models have higher accuracy compared to random forests. Furthermore, the random forest models have less execution time compared to kriging for studied mathematical test problems.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2020. , p. 26
Keywords [en]
Machine learning, Regression, Random Forest, kriging, Prediction models, Surrogate models, and Design engineering
National Category
Computer Systems
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:bth-20230OAI: oai:DiVA.org:bth-20230DiVA, id: diva2:1454869
Subject / course
DV1446 Bachelor Thesis in Computer Science
Presentation
2020-06-03, online, karlskrona, 17:27 (English)
Supervisors
Examiners
Available from: 2020-07-23 Created: 2020-07-20 Last updated: 2020-07-23Bibliographically approved

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Asritha, Kotha Sri Lakshmi Kamakshi
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CiteExportLink to record
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