Change search
CiteExportLink to record
Permanent link

Direct link
Cite
Citation style
  • apa
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf
Multifactorial 10-year prior diagnosis prediction model of dementia
Blekinge Institute of Technology, Faculty of Engineering, Department of Health.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-6752-017X
University of Birmingham, GBR .
Blekinge Institute of Technology, Faculty of Computing, Department of Software Engineering. Blekinge Institute of Technology, Faculty of Computing, Department of Computer Science.ORCID iD: 0000-0003-0449-5322
Linnaeus University, SWE.
Show others and affiliations
2020 (English)In: International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, ISSN 1661-7827, E-ISSN 1660-4601, Vol. 17, no 18, p. 1-18, article id 6674Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Dementia is a neurodegenerative disorder that affects the older adult population. To date, no cure or treatment to change its course is available. Since changes in the brains of affected individuals could be evidenced as early as 10 years before the onset of symptoms, prognosis research should consider this time frame. This study investigates a broad decision tree multifactorial approach for the prediction of dementia, considering 75 variables regarding demographic, social, lifestyle, medical history, biochemical tests, physical examination, psychological assessment and health instruments. Previous work on dementia prognoses with machine learning did not consider a broad range of factors in a large time frame. The proposed approach investigated predictive factors for dementia and possible prognostic subgroups. This study used data from the ongoing multipurpose Swedish National Study on Aging and Care, consisting of 726 subjects (91 presented dementia diagnosis in 10 years). The proposed approach achieved an AUC of 0.745 and Recall of 0.722 for the 10-year prognosis of dementia. Most of the variables selected by the tree are related to modifiable risk factors; physical strength was important across all ages. Also, there was a lack of variables related to health instruments routinely used for the dementia diagnosis. © 2020 by the authors. Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
MDPI AG , 2020. Vol. 17, no 18, p. 1-18, article id 6674
Keywords [en]
Cost sensitive learning, Decision tree, Dementia, Machine learning, Modifiable risk factors, Prognosis, Wrapper feature selection, health risk, mental disorder, modeling, prediction, risk factor, symptom, Sweden
National Category
Geriatrics Neurology
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:bth-20482DOI: 10.3390/ijerph17186674ISI: 000579987200001PubMedID: 32937765Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85090858921OAI: oai:DiVA.org:bth-20482DiVA, id: diva2:1470717
Funder
Swedish Research Council
Note

open access

Available from: 2020-09-25 Created: 2020-09-25 Last updated: 2023-12-04Bibliographically approved

Open Access in DiVA

Multifactorial 10-year prior diagnosis prediction model of dementia(756 kB)260 downloads
File information
File name FULLTEXT01.pdfFile size 756 kBChecksum SHA-512
433e0fbfb40110760735d4ea576d2a7acdafefc68e320d2eeccd81d9d2c33b063842e1d9453cb03a004dbbe903965f5959ee3be00e5c93141302c7854866768c
Type fulltextMimetype application/pdf

Other links

Publisher's full textPubMedScopus

Authority records

Moraes, Ana Luiza DalloraMendes, EmiliaAnderberg, PeterSanmartin Berglund, Johan

Search in DiVA

By author/editor
Moraes, Ana Luiza DalloraMendes, EmiliaAnderberg, PeterSanmartin Berglund, Johan
By organisation
Department of HealthDepartment of Software EngineeringDepartment of Computer Science
In the same journal
International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health
GeriatricsNeurology

Search outside of DiVA

GoogleGoogle Scholar
Total: 260 downloads
The number of downloads is the sum of all downloads of full texts. It may include eg previous versions that are now no longer available

doi
pubmed
urn-nbn

Altmetric score

doi
pubmed
urn-nbn
Total: 508 hits
CiteExportLink to record
Permanent link

Direct link
Cite
Citation style
  • apa
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf