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Early Expansion of User-base for Mobile Applications: Evidence from US Apply App Store
Blekinge Institute of Technology, Faculty of Engineering, Department of Industrial Economics.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-7928-2607
(English)Manuscript (preprint) (Other academic)
Abstract [en]

Mobile apps have been growing drastically since their birth in 2008. Acquiring more app users as quickly as possible after the app is released in the app stores is one of the key rules for app developers to survive in this emerging and competitive digital market. This paper uses cumulative weekly downloading data from the US Apple App Store during a two-year period of 2015 and 2016 to study the early expansion curves and diffusion patterns of mobile apps in the app market. Downloading payment methods (free or paid to download an app) and hedonic or utilitarian value-orientated app types (games and productivity apps) are considered when we study the diffusion pattern of mobile apps. The Bass model is used as the baseline model, and the logistic model and Gompertz model are used to conduct a robustness check. Non-linear least square is the measurement to obtain parameters of diffusion models. The results show that the Bass model is the best-fitting model compared with the other two models, and the diffusion pattern of mobile apps is S-shaped at the market level. The first 35 weeks are essential for the app developers to attract app users’ downloads. More app data from different app stores and more diffusion models can be tested for mobile app diffusion and early expansion patterns in the future research. 

Keywords [en]
Mobile Apps, Early Expansion, Diffusion Pattern, Bass Model, Apple App Store
National Category
Economics and Business Other Computer and Information Science
Research subject
Industrial Economics a nd Managemen
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:bth-23655OAI: oai:DiVA.org:bth-23655DiVA, id: diva2:1696253
Available from: 2022-09-16 Created: 2022-09-16 Last updated: 2022-09-16Bibliographically approved
In thesis
1. Essays on Mobile Application Performance in the Market
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Essays on Mobile Application Performance in the Market
2022 (English)Doctoral thesis, comprehensive summary (Other academic)
Abstract [en]

The mobile application has experienced rapid growth since its emergence in 2008. The mobile app platform, as the two-sided market for mobile apps, enables app developers and app users to make transactions in it. In this competitive market, app developers face different factors that influence the success of apps. This dissertation deals with mobile app performance in the market and studies the determinants of mobile app performance from app users’ and app developers’ perspectives. 

This dissertation consists of four essays and an introductory part. Each essay is a separate study, but all of them aim to explore the factors that impact mobile app performance in the market. Essay I investigates the combinatory effects of ratings and reviews from app users on new mobile app downloads. Ratings and reviews have been found to have direct and interaction effects on mobile app downloads. Essay II analyzes the effects of different revenue model choices from app developers on app revenue performance in the market. The findings show that free downloads combined with in-app payments are a superior revenue model for gaming apps, but either charging for downloading or in-app purchases is better for productivity apps. Essay III discovers the diffusion pattern of new mobile apps in the market. The Bass model is used to test the diffusion parameters, and the logistic model and the Gompertz model are used to do the robustness check. The results show that the Bass model is the best-fitting model for mobile app data compared with the other two models, and newly launched mobile apps follow the S-curve diffusion pattern, and the early expansion of the mobile app should achieve in the first 35 weeks. Essay IV studies how the launch timing of new apps affects app downloads. The backward launch competition, cross-category launch competition, and release-date launch competition are factors that impact app downloads. For all four essays, the US Apple App Store data is adopted because the Apple App Store is one of the leading app stores worldwide. Different empirical analysis methods are applied in the four essays. Hedonic and utilitarian consumption values are considered in differentiating app types in all four essays. 

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Karlskrona: Blekinge Tekniska Högskola, 2022. p. 191
Series
Blekinge Institute of Technology Doctoral Dissertation Series, ISSN 1653-2090 ; 6
Keywords
mobile applications, market performance, ratings and reviews, revenue models, diffusion
National Category
Economics and Business Other Computer and Information Science
Research subject
Industrial Economics a nd Managemen
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:bth-23658 (URN)978-91-7295-443-4 (ISBN)
Public defence
2022-10-27, J1630, Karlskrona, 13:15 (English)
Opponent
Supervisors
Available from: 2022-09-16 Created: 2022-09-16 Last updated: 2022-10-05Bibliographically approved

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Wang, Shujun

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