MITIGATING UNCERTAINTY IN CONCEPTUAL DESIGN USING OPERATIONAL SCENARIO SIMULATIONS: A DATA-DRIVEN EXTENSION OF THE EVOKE APPROACH
2023 (English)In: Proceedings of the Design Society / [ed] Otto K., Cambridge University Press, 2023, Vol. 3, p. 2665-2674Conference paper, Published paper (Refereed)
Abstract [en]
The paper presents an approach where the iterative replication of Discrete Event Simulations on future operational scenarios is used to derive data-driven design merit functions. The presented contribution proposes an extension of the EVOKE (Early Value Oriented Design Exploration with Knowledge Maturity) approach determining when and how the experience-based judgment about maximization, minimization, optimization, and avoidance functions, correlating value drivers and quantified objectives, can be substituted by data-driven mathematical functions obtained by scenarios simulations. The approach is described through a simplified case concerning the development of autonomous electric vehicles to complement the public transport system in the city of Karlskrona in Sweden. The consideration of value drivers and quantified objectives presented is meant to support a preliminary screening of potential design configurations to support the definition of high-level product and system-related functional requirements, to be run before a more detailed conceptual design analysis. © The Author(s), 2023. Published by Cambridge University Press.
Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Cambridge University Press, 2023. Vol. 3, p. 2665-2674
Series
Proceedings of the Design Society, E-ISSN 2732-527X ; 3
Keywords [en]
Conceptual design, Decision making, Discrete Event Simulation, EVOKE, Systems Engineering (SE), Product design, Data driven, Data-driven design, Decisions makings, Discrete-event simulations, Operational scenario, Scenario simulations, System engineering, Uncertainty, Value drivers
National Category
Other Mechanical Engineering
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:bth-25258DOI: 10.1017/pds.2023.267Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85165493272OAI: oai:DiVA.org:bth-25258DiVA, id: diva2:1786356
Conference
24th International Conference on Engineering Design, ICED 2023, Bordeaux, 24 July through 28 July 2023
Part of project
TRUST-SOS – TRUSTed – Site Optimisation Solutions, Vinnova
Funder
Vinnova, 2021-02551Swedish Research Council FormasSwedish Energy Agency2023-08-082023-08-082023-11-15Bibliographically approved