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Toller Melén, Carl Nils KonradORCID iD iconorcid.org/0000-0002-2579-2310
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Publications (10 of 18) Show all publications
Toller Melén, C. N. (2026). Effective Simulations for Value Exploration in System-of-Systems Design: A Step Towards Digital Twins. (Doctoral dissertation). Karlskrona: Blekinge Tekniska Högskola
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Effective Simulations for Value Exploration in System-of-Systems Design: A Step Towards Digital Twins
2026 (English)Doctoral thesis, comprehensive summary (Other academic)
Abstract [en]

Today, increased global competition and regulatory demands push organizations to find innovative ways to design and create value. One way is to examine Product-Service System offerings, which enable more stable revenues and foster tighter collaboration and value co-creation between the provider and customer. However, this often means adopting a System-of-Systems (SoS) approach where the value creation is dependent on successful collaboration between constituent systems and actors. SoS also leads to higher complexity and uncertainty, making them more challenging to design, especially in the early stages where knowledge is limited. Therefore, this thesis investigates how to leverage simulations and operational data to explore the value creation in SoS design.

Methodologically, the work adopts a Design Research Methodology and Participatory Action Research approach, combining systematic literature reviews with six industrial case studies in the construction machinery and climate resilience sectors. The case studies originate from a series of research projects conducted in collaboration with various industrial and public partners between 2020 and 2025. 

The research introduces two main contributions. First, the Value–Data Framework, which operationalizes Value-Driven Design by linking value modeling to operational datasets, enabling transparent and quantitative assessment of value creation. The value model introduces a two-step value hierarchy to enhance transparency and address the growing complexity of SoS. Operational data is defined and classified clearly to show where and how it can be leveraged. The second contribution, an Integrated Simulation Platform, equips design teams with the ability to develop effective simulations for SoS modeling in early design stages. The platform explicitly addresses multi-fidelity to guide developers in balancing the computational complexity and accuracy. Finally, both contributions are demonstrated in quarry case studies to validate and highlight their usefulness. Lastly, the SoS simulations are contextualized for Digital Twinning, and the use cases and needs for deploying Digital Twins in climate resilience efforts are examined.

The findings advance theory by bridging Value-Driven Design and SoS simulations, and provide practical guidelines for managing fidelity trade-offs and data–value integration. Industrial implications include improved decision support for electrification, autonomy, and resilience strategies. 

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Karlskrona: Blekinge Tekniska Högskola, 2026. p. 100
Series
Blekinge Institute of Technology Doctoral Dissertation Series, ISSN 1653-2090 ; 2026:02
Keywords
System-of-Systems, Value-Driven Design, Operational data, Simulation, Decision support, Digital Twin
National Category
Mechanical Engineering
Research subject
Mechanical Engineering
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:bth-28936 (URN)978-91-7295-520-2 (ISBN)
Public defence
2026-02-12, J1630, Valhallavägen 1, Karlskrona, 09:00 (English)
Opponent
Supervisors
Funder
VinnovaEU, Horizon EuropeKnowledge Foundation
Available from: 2025-12-02 Created: 2025-12-02 Last updated: 2026-01-13Bibliographically approved
Aeddula, O., Toller Melén, C. N., Scurati, G. W., Larsson, T., West, S. & Wall, J. (2025). AI-Powered Value Co-Creation: A Case Study Approach to Smart PSS Development. In: Smart Services Summit: Proceedings of the Sixth Conference, held in Zurich, Switzerland in October 2024. Paper presented at Smart Services Summit SMSESU 2024, Zurich, Oct 18, 2024 (pp. 63-75). Springer, F428
Open this publication in new window or tab >>AI-Powered Value Co-Creation: A Case Study Approach to Smart PSS Development
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2025 (English)In: Smart Services Summit: Proceedings of the Sixth Conference, held in Zurich, Switzerland in October 2024, Springer, 2025, Vol. F428, p. 63-75Conference paper, Published paper (Refereed)
Abstract [en]

Product-Service System (PSS) development prioritizes the technical aspects of implementing Artificial Intelligence (AI), overlooking the strategic rationale behind its adoption. This paper investigates the impact of AI on value co-creation within industrial contexts by analyzing successful AI applications in PSS development across diverse domains like industrial systems engineering and healthcare technology. Through a multiple case study approach, this paper aims to explore the strategic motivations for using AI and its influence on the co-creation process. The analysis reveals several key benefits of AI adoption. Firstly, it fosters collaborative and iterative development, empowering both internal teams and external stakeholders to actively participate in value co-creation. Secondly, AI helps uncover novel value propositions that might remain hidden through traditional methods thus boosting the value co-creation. Finally, AI acts as a catalyst for building dynamic knowledge ecosystems. By facilitating data-driven insights and collaboration, AI enables continuous learning and adoption within the co-creation process. 

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Springer, 2025
Series
Progress in IS, ISSN 2196-8705, E-ISSN 2196-8713
Keywords
Artificial Intelligence, Product-Service system, Smart PSS, Value co-creation
National Category
Industrial engineering and management Artificial Intelligence
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:bth-28080 (URN)10.1007/978-3-031-86958-7_5 (DOI)001527505300005 ()2-s2.0-105007044151 (Scopus ID)9783031869570 (ISBN)
Conference
Smart Services Summit SMSESU 2024, Zurich, Oct 18, 2024
Available from: 2025-06-13 Created: 2025-06-13 Last updated: 2025-09-30Bibliographically approved
Toller Melén, C. N., Machchhar, R. J., Wendin, C. & Bertoni, M. (2025). An integrated simulation framework for system-of-systems value exploration. Design Science, 11, Article ID e20.
Open this publication in new window or tab >>An integrated simulation framework for system-of-systems value exploration
2025 (English)In: Design Science, E-ISSN 2053-4701, Vol. 11, article id e20Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

The manufacturing sector is witnessing a paradigm shift toward servitization, where companies are transitioning from selling products to offering product-service systems. This shift creates additional challenges, where the providers must ensure the expected value throughout the operational phase of the solution. Especially when dealing with a system-of-systems (SoS), evaluating performance across diverse contexts and business models while understanding the interconnectedness between systems becomes critical. To address these challenges during the design phase, this article presents a novel integrated simulation framework that supports the development team in exploring value from a SoS perspective. This framework utilizes agent-based simulation and offers three key features: multifidelity, modular and multidisciplinary. The applicability of the proposed framework is further demonstrated in a quarry industry case.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Cambridge University Press, 2025
Keywords
Systems engineering, Value-driven design, Agent-based simulation, Early-stage design, Product-service system
National Category
Other Engineering and Technologies
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:bth-28225 (URN)10.1017/dsj.2025.10012 (DOI)001511123300001 ()2-s2.0-105009115661 (Scopus ID)
Available from: 2025-06-27 Created: 2025-06-27 Last updated: 2025-12-02Bibliographically approved
Machchhar, R. J., Toller Melén, C. N., Bertoni, A., Frank, B. & Wilhelmsson, M. (2025). Changeability Assessment in Systems during Early Design. Journal of engineering design (Print)
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Changeability Assessment in Systems during Early Design
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2025 (English)In: Journal of engineering design (Print), ISSN 0954-4828, E-ISSN 1466-1837Article in journal (Refereed) Epub ahead of print
Abstract [en]

Increased stakeholder expectations and tougher global competition push the manufacturing industries to develop more complex solutions, introducing numerous uncertainties in design decision-making. Incorporating changeability is one way to systematically deal with uncertainty, which requires dealing with the identification, valuation, and quantification of changeability during the early design stages. Besides, when considering a system-of-systems (SoS) problem, it necessitates optimizing the portfolio of options within the SoS while considering the transition “in” and “of” the system combinatorially. In this light, this paper presents the Changeability Assessment in Systems during Early Design (CASED) method for development teams to create value-robust systems in the face of uncertainty. The CASED method utilizes epochs and eras to represent uncertainty and analyzes the impact of changing system configurations and control policies on overall system value. Considering transitions “in” and “of” the system involves solving a linear assignment problem to minimize the switch costs. A dynamic programming procedure for an era finds the avenues when change shall be exercised. Iterating through several eras, a map of the expected mean value and expected standard deviation is generated for all designs, which serves as a guide for decisions concerning changeability. The applicability of the method is further confirmed through a fleet of haulers operating in a quarry.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Taylor & Francis, 2025
Keywords
Uncertainty, Changeability, Value robustness, Early design stages, Systems Engineering
National Category
Production Engineering, Human Work Science and Ergonomics
Research subject
Mechanical Engineering
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:bth-28427 (URN)10.1080/09544828.2025.2588549 (DOI)001614460200001 ()2-s2.0-105022020317 (Scopus ID)
Projects
Tested Site Optimization Solutions (Tested-SOS)
Funder
Vinnova, 2021-02551Vinnova, 2022-00578Vinnova, 2024-03678
Available from: 2025-07-30 Created: 2025-07-30 Last updated: 2025-11-28Bibliographically approved
Bertoni, A., Machchhar, R. J., Toller Melén, C. N., Scurati, G. W. & Bertoni, M. (2025). Designing value-robust circular systems through changeability: a framework with case studies. Design Science, 11, Article ID e15.
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Designing value-robust circular systems through changeability: a framework with case studies
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2025 (English)In: Design Science, E-ISSN 2053-4701, Vol. 11, article id e15Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Increasing sustainability expectations requires support for the design of systems that are reactive in minimizing potential negative impact and proactive in guiding engineering decision-making toward more value-robust long-term decisions. This article identifies a gap in the methodological support for the design of circular systems, building on the hypothesis that computer-based simulation models will drive the development of more value-robust systems designed to behave positively in a changeable operational environment during the whole lifecycle. The article presents a framework for value-robust circular systems design, complementing the current approaches for circular design aimed at increasing decision-makers' awareness about the complexity of circular systems to be designed. The framework is theoretically described and demonstrated through its applications in four case studies in the field of construction machinery investigating new circular solutions for the future of mining, quarrying and road construction. The framework supports the development of more resilient and sustainable systems, strengthening the feedback loop between exploring new technologies, proposing innovative concepts and evaluating system performance.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Cambridge University Press, 2025
Keywords
Value-Driven Design, Value Robustness, Circularity, Complex Systems, Uncertainty, Simulations
National Category
Production Engineering, Human Work Science and Ergonomics
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:bth-27892 (URN)10.1017/dsj.2025.11 (DOI)001486151100001 ()2-s2.0-105005365241 (Scopus ID)
Funder
Vinnova, 2021-02551Vinnova, 2021-04347Swedish Research Council FormasSwedish Energy Agency
Available from: 2025-05-23 Created: 2025-05-23 Last updated: 2025-09-30Bibliographically approved
Toller Melén, C. N., Bertoni, M. & Johansson Askling, C. (2025). Effective system-of-systems simulation in a VUCA world: lessons learned for design decision-makers. In: di Milano P. (Ed.), Proceedings of the Design Society: Volume 5: ICED25. Paper presented at 25th International Conference on Engineering Design, ICED 2025, Dallas, Aug 11-14, 2025 (pp. 1435-1444). Cambridge University Press
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Effective system-of-systems simulation in a VUCA world: lessons learned for design decision-makers
2025 (English)In: Proceedings of the Design Society: Volume 5: ICED25 / [ed] di Milano P., Cambridge University Press, 2025, p. 1435-1444Conference paper, Published paper (Refereed)
Abstract [en]

Today, Manufacturing companies are adopting a servitization strategy and Product-Service System model to enhance value and remain competitive. Often, this transition also means to embrace a System-of-Systems (SoS) perspective. Concurrently, companies face challenges with volatile, uncertain, complex, and ambiguous (VUCA) environments. One way to tackle VUCA is to utilize simulation modeling. However, developing SoS simulations can be complex and cumbersome. This paper extracts lessons learned from six case studies to identify effective and ineffective practices in developing simulation models. The analysis has led to nine design principles for more effective simulation modeling. Furthermore, the paper explores simulation techniques for modeling SoS and discusses effective VUCA management. Finally, the paper proposes four future research directions to advance SoS simulation research.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Cambridge University Press, 2025
Series
Proceedings of the Design Society, E-ISSN 2732-527X
Keywords
system-of-systems, simulation, early design phases, complexity
National Category
Industrial engineering and management Design
Research subject
Mechanical Engineering
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:bth-28702 (URN)10.1017/pds.2025.10157 (DOI)2-s2.0-105022792831 (Scopus ID)
Conference
25th International Conference on Engineering Design, ICED 2025, Dallas, Aug 11-14, 2025
Funder
Vinnova, 2022-00578Vinnova, 2021-04347Vinnova, 2021-02551Swedish Energy Agency, P2023-01415EU, Horizon Europe, 101093968
Available from: 2025-10-01 Created: 2025-10-01 Last updated: 2025-12-05Bibliographically approved
Scurati, G. W. & Toller Melén, C. N. (2025). Extended Reality for extended learning: Investigating students’ perspectives. In: Gunilla Carlsson Kvarnlöf, Fredrik Georgsson, Christina V Hansson, Pedher Johansson, Ida Naimi-Akbar, Björn Oskarsson, Joakim Storck, Elisabeth Uhlemann (Ed.), Konferensbidrag 10:e Utvecklingskonferensen för Sveriges Ingenjörsutbildningar: . Paper presented at 10:e Utvecklingskonferensen för Sveriges ingenjörsutbildningar, Karlskrona, Nov 19-20, 2025 (pp. 47-58).
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Extended Reality for extended learning: Investigating students’ perspectives
2025 (English)In: Konferensbidrag 10:e Utvecklingskonferensen för Sveriges Ingenjörsutbildningar / [ed] Gunilla Carlsson Kvarnlöf, Fredrik Georgsson, Christina V Hansson, Pedher Johansson, Ida Naimi-Akbar, Björn Oskarsson, Joakim Storck, Elisabeth Uhlemann, 2025, p. 47-58Conference paper, Published paper (Refereed)
Abstract [en]

Extended Reality (XR) is increasingly relevant in engineering education due to its potential to enhance learning through immersive experiences. Despite growing interest, limited research addresses how students themselves perceive the role of XR in learning within the CDIO (Conceive–Design–Implement–Operate) framework. This study investigates how XR, particularly Virtual Reality (VR), supports three CDIO objectives—creating design alternatives, evaluating concepts, and implementing solutions—based on the experiences of master students in a mechanical engineering program. Using a qualitative case study approach, semi-structured interviews were analyzed inductively and thematically. Results show that students view VR as a powerful tool for understanding complex phenomena, visualizing consequences, and motivating engagement. The findings suggest that VR can enhance engineering students’ capabilities and promote deeper learning when implemented thoughtfully. This work contributes a student-centered perspective to XR in education, encouraging further research into its responsible and effective integration across the CDIO framework.

Keywords
Extended Reality, Virtual Reality, Conceive-Design-Implement-Operate, Learning Outcomes
National Category
Didactics
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:bth-28900 (URN)
Conference
10:e Utvecklingskonferensen för Sveriges ingenjörsutbildningar, Karlskrona, Nov 19-20, 2025
Available from: 2025-11-19 Created: 2025-11-19 Last updated: 2025-11-19Bibliographically approved
Toller Melén, C. N., Bertoni, M., Scurati, G. W. & Young, S. (2025). The Role of Digital Twins in Building Climate Change Resilience. In: Hybrid Human-AI Collaborative Networks: . Paper presented at 26th IFIP WG 5.5 Working Conference on Virtual Enterprises, PRO-VE 2025. Porto, Portugal 27-29 October 2025.. Springer Nature
Open this publication in new window or tab >>The Role of Digital Twins in Building Climate Change Resilience
2025 (English)In: Hybrid Human-AI Collaborative Networks, Springer Nature, 2025Conference paper, Published paper (Refereed)
Abstract [en]

Climate change is one of the most important challenges for society to solve. However, it cannot be fixed solely through greenhouse gas reductions; it requires proactive efforts. This paper investigates how Digital Twins (DT) can serve as a support for Climate Change Adaptation (CCA), which is required to achieve climate resilience. Data was collected from a workshop targeting the role of DT in CCA, which consisted of 92 participants from the public sector in various European countries. The data was analyzed and disseminated to establish guiding principles on how DT can be deployed and designed to best fit the characteristics of CCA work. Firstly, use cases were identified based on cross-examination between CCA activities and stakeholders. Secondly, a list of needs for developing DTs to serve as CCA support was developed. Together, these aspects provide a solid base for more effective DT design in supporting the transition to a more resilient society.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Springer Nature, 2025
Series
IFIP Advances in Information and Communication Technology, ISSN 1868-4238, E-ISSN 1868-422X
Keywords
Climate Change Adaptation, Digital Twin, Stakeholder Alignment
National Category
Other Mechanical Engineering
Research subject
Mechanical Engineering
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:bth-28934 (URN)10.1007/978-3-032-05681-8_27 (DOI)
Conference
26th IFIP WG 5.5 Working Conference on Virtual Enterprises, PRO-VE 2025. Porto, Portugal 27-29 October 2025.
Projects
Regions for Climate Change Resilience through Innovation, Science and Technology
Funder
EU, Horizon Europe, 101093968
Available from: 2025-11-25 Created: 2025-11-25 Last updated: 2025-12-02Bibliographically approved
Machchhar, R. J., Toller Melén, C. N. & Bertoni, A. (2024). A tradespace exploration approach for changeability assessment from a system-of-systems perspective: application from the construction machinery industry. In: Storga M., Skec S., Martinec T., Marjanovic D., Pavkovic N., Skec M.M. (Ed.), Proceedings of the Design Society: . Paper presented at International Design Society Conference, Design 2024, Cavtat, Dubrovnik, May 20-23 2024 (pp. 2655-2664). Cambridges Institutes Press
Open this publication in new window or tab >>A tradespace exploration approach for changeability assessment from a system-of-systems perspective: application from the construction machinery industry
2024 (English)In: Proceedings of the Design Society / [ed] Storga M., Skec S., Martinec T., Marjanovic D., Pavkovic N., Skec M.M., Cambridges Institutes Press, 2024, p. 2655-2664Conference paper, Published paper (Refereed)
Abstract [en]

The rapid development of new technologies such as electrification, autonomy, and other contextual factors pose significant challenges to development teams in balancing competing aspects while developing value-robust solutions. One approach for achieving value robustness is designing for changeability. This paper presents a tradespace exploration from a Systems-of-Systems perspective to facilitate changeability assessment during early design stages. The approach is further demonstrated on a fleet of haulers operating in a mining site. © 2024 Proceedings of the Design Society. All rights reserved.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Cambridges Institutes Press, 2024
Series
Proceedings of the Design Society, E-ISSN 2732-527X ; 4
Keywords
design optimisation, dynamic programming, early design phase, process modelling, systems engineering (SE), Balancing, Commerce, Construction equipment, Machine design, System of systems, Construction machinery industry, Contextual factors, Design optimization, Development teams, Early design phasis, Process-models, Robust solutions, System engineering, System-of-systems, Trade space explorations
National Category
Production Engineering, Human Work Science and Ergonomics Design
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:bth-26365 (URN)10.1017/pds.2024.268 (DOI)2-s2.0-85194110783 (Scopus ID)
Conference
International Design Society Conference, Design 2024, Cavtat, Dubrovnik, May 20-23 2024
Available from: 2024-06-17 Created: 2024-06-17 Last updated: 2025-09-30Bibliographically approved
Toller Melén, C. N., Machchhar, R. J. & Bertoni, A. (2024). Merging agent-based simulation and vehicle dynamics: a hybrid approach for value exploration in the mining industry. In: Proceedings of the Design Society: . Paper presented at 18th International DESIGN Conference - DESIGN 2024, Cavtat, Dubrovnik, May 20-23, 2024 (pp. 2755-2764). Cambridge University Press, 4
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Merging agent-based simulation and vehicle dynamics: a hybrid approach for value exploration in the mining industry
2024 (English)In: Proceedings of the Design Society, Cambridge University Press, 2024, Vol. 4, p. 2755-2764Conference paper, Published paper (Refereed)
Abstract [en]

Innovation plays a vital role in ensuring sustainable mining operations. Electrification and autonomy are two significant trends, but their implementation brings complexity at vehicle and site levels. Therefore, it is crucial to understand how these technologies impact the overall site value creation. This paper suggests a hybrid approach that combines Agent-Based Simulation and vehicle dynamics modeling to explore site configurations. By regarding a mining site as a System-of-Systems, designers can concurrently test different designs to find the optimal combination for a specific scenario.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Cambridge University Press, 2024
Series
Proceedings of the Design Society, E-ISSN 2732-527X ; 4
Keywords
simulation-based design, autonomous vehicles, system of systems, electromobility
National Category
Transport Systems and Logistics
Research subject
Mechanical Engineering; Mechanical Engineering
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:bth-26249 (URN)10.1017/pds.2024.278 (DOI)2-s2.0-85194060798 (Scopus ID)
Conference
18th International DESIGN Conference - DESIGN 2024, Cavtat, Dubrovnik, May 20-23, 2024
Funder
Vinnova, 2021-04347Vinnova, 2021-02551
Available from: 2024-05-27 Created: 2024-05-27 Last updated: 2025-09-30Bibliographically approved
Organisations
Identifiers
ORCID iD: ORCID iD iconorcid.org/0000-0002-2579-2310

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