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Data-Driven Modeling of Transportation Systems: Methodological Approaches and Real World Applications
Blekinge Institute of Technology, Faculty of Engineering, Department of Mathematics and Natural Sciences.ORCID iD: 0009-0007-0868-9868
2024 (English)Doctoral thesis, comprehensive summary (Other academic)
Abstract [en]

Traffic analysis is vital for enhancing the performance of transportation systems, where continuous evaluation of traffic states helps responsible road authorities detect and address issues. High-quality traffic data is key to analysis, as it aids in planning and investments. Traditionally, traffic data collection has been costly and limited. Nowadays, connected vehicles and mobile phones have transformed this process, enabling traffic data collection across large geographic regions without the need for dedicated measurement devices. The availability of large-scale and detailed traffic data allows for in-depth analysis using mathematical models. This thesis develops models to utilize available traffic data for transportation system improvements, aiming to enhance traffic conditions and road user experience. It utilizes data from link flows and travel times, applying models over large geographic areas. The thesis addresses transportation engineering issues through data-driven methods. The thesis proposes two methods for allocating electric vehicle charging stations using optimization and route sampling techniques. It introduces a new index for assessing travel time reliability. It shows how clustering analysis of descriptive travel time statistics can be used to detect different traffic states. Furthermore, this thesis presents a statistical model to estimate link flow propagation using measured link flow data, analyzing traffic influence across surrounding areas. The thesis also uses traffic simulation, focusing on combining speed cameras and probe vehicles for data collection and developing a model to identify probable routes based on hourly link flows. The thesis results highlight the importance of data-driven models in optimizing transportation systems and improving road user travel experiences.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Karlskrona: Blekinge Tekniska Högskola, 2024.
Series
Blekinge Institute of Technology Doctoral Dissertation Series, ISSN 1653-2090 ; 2024:14
Keywords [en]
traffic analysis, data-driven models, mathematical models, link flow data, travel time data
National Category
Transport Systems and Logistics
Research subject
Systems Engineering
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:bth-26902ISBN: 978-91-7295-487-8 (print)OAI: oai:DiVA.org:bth-26902DiVA, id: diva2:1896822
Public defence
2024-11-14, 09:00 (English)
Opponent
Supervisors
Available from: 2024-09-25 Created: 2024-09-11 Last updated: 2024-09-27Bibliographically approved
List of papers
1. Optimal Allocation of Charging Stations for Electric Vehicles Using Probabilistic Route Selection
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Optimal Allocation of Charging Stations for Electric Vehicles Using Probabilistic Route Selection
2021 (English)In: Computing and informatics, ISSN 1335-9150, Vol. 40, no 2, p. 408-427Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Electric vehicles (EVs) are environmentally friendly and are considered to be a promising approach toward a green transportation infrastructure with lower greenhouse gas emissions. However, the limited driving range of EVs demands a strategic allocation of charging facilities, hence providing recharging opportunities that help reduce EV owners' anxiety about their vehicles' range. In this paper, we study a set covering method where self-avoiding walks are utilized to find the most significant locations for charging stations. In the corresponding optimization problem, we derive a lower bound of the number of charging stations in a transportation network to obtain full coverage of the most probable routes. The proposed method is applied to a transportation network of the southern part of Sweden.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
SLOVAK ACAD SCIENCES INST INFORMATICS, 2021
Keywords
Charging stations, electric vehicle, transportation network, optimal placement, self-avoiding random walk
National Category
Transport Systems and Logistics
Research subject
Mathematics and applications
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:bth-22203 (URN)10.31577/cai_2021_2_408 (DOI)000718900400008 ()2-s2.0-85118310218 (Scopus ID)
Note

open access

Available from: 2021-10-13 Created: 2021-10-13 Last updated: 2024-09-25Bibliographically approved
2. Addressing Local and Regional Recharging Demand: Allocation of Charging Stations through Iterative Route Analysis
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Addressing Local and Regional Recharging Demand: Allocation of Charging Stations through Iterative Route Analysis
2024 (English)In: Procedia Computer Science / [ed] Elhadi Shakshuki, Elsevier, 2024, Vol. 238, p. 65-72Conference paper, Published paper (Refereed)
Abstract [en]

The emergence of electric vehicles offers a promising approach to achieving a more sustainable transportation system, given their lower production of direct emissions. However, the limited driving range and insufficient public recharging infrastructure in some areas hinder their competitiveness against traditional vehicles with internal combustion engines. To address these issues, this paper introduces an ``iterative route cover optimization method'' to suggest  charging station locations in high-demand regions. The method samples routes from a route choice set and optimally locates at least one charging station along each  route. Through iterative resampling and optimal allocation of charging stations, the method identifies the potential recharging demand in a location or a region. We demonstrate the method's applicability to a transportation network of the southern part of Sweden. The results show that the proposed method is capable to suggest locations and geographical regions where the recharging demand is potentially high. 

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Elsevier, 2024
Series
Procedia Computer Science, ISSN 1877-0509
Keywords
Allocation Strategy, Charging Station, Electric Vehicle, Recharging Demand
National Category
Transport Systems and Logistics
Research subject
Systems Engineering
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:bth-26715 (URN)10.1016/j.procs.2024.05.197 (DOI)2-s2.0-85199527923 (Scopus ID)
Conference
15th International Conference on Ambient Systems, Networks and Technologies (ANT), Hasselt, Belgium, April 23-25, 2024
Available from: 2024-07-10 Created: 2024-07-10 Last updated: 2024-09-25Bibliographically approved
3. Measuring Travel Time Reliability using Median-Based Misery Index
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Measuring Travel Time Reliability using Median-Based Misery Index
(English)Manuscript (preprint) (Other academic)
Abstract [en]

Travel times and travel time reliability are important indicators of the traffic state in a transportation system. Analyzing travel times and their reliability and how they vary over time makes it possible to identify existing road network deficiencies or deficiencies that may eventually occur unless necessary actions are taken. Road network deficiencies, such as inadequate road capacity or substandard road design, typically lead to congestion and trip delays for road users. A novel median-based misery index is proposed to highlight potential road network deficiencies in the transportation system. The proposed index offers a way to gauge travel time reliability, providing valuable insights into roads where improvements may be needed. The newly developed median-based misery index operates by computing the relative disparity between slow travel speeds and free-flow travel speeds. The median-based misery index is more robust to skewed distributions of travel times than the ordinary misery index. Our empirical case study includes a spatiotemporal analysis of travel speed data from a section of the European route E4 in Sweden. The case study results show that the new index may be used to detect peak periods when the traffic conditions for road users have deteriorated.

National Category
Transport Systems and Logistics
Research subject
Systems Engineering; Systems Engineering
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:bth-26933 (URN)
Funder
Swedish Transport Administration
Available from: 2024-09-22 Created: 2024-09-22 Last updated: 2024-09-25Bibliographically approved
4. Exploring spatio-temporal traffic performance variation through clustering of descriptive travel time statistics
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Exploring spatio-temporal traffic performance variation through clustering of descriptive travel time statistics
2024 (English)Conference paper, Published paper (Refereed)
Abstract [en]

Characterizing link-types and day-types in road networks is vital for understanding recurring traffic state patterns. Link-types and day-types in road networks describe road segments and days based on their specific characteristics.For long-term planning, clustering can be used to categorize links and days with similar characteristics and patterns that may indicate degraded performance in the road network in the future. In this paper, we apply cluster analysis to automate this process and identify similarities among links and days to find potential infrastructure deficiencies and recurring traffic states. Our study uses k-means on descriptive statistics to reveal link-types and day-types. Applying our method to high-resolution travel speed data from a road in Sweden reveals distinct characteristics based on the link and day. The results indicate that the relative difference between the measured travel speed and the free-flow travel speed is negative on links with higher free-flow travel speeds. Additionally, the variability in travel speeds is greater on links with lower free-flow travel speeds.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Elsevier, 2024
Series
Transportation Research Procedia, ISSN 2352-1457
Keywords
link-type; day-type; clustering; travel speed data
National Category
Transport Systems and Logistics
Research subject
Systems Engineering
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:bth-26935 (URN)
Conference
Euro Working Group on Transportation (EWGT) conference 2024,
Funder
Swedish Transport Administration
Available from: 2024-09-22 Created: 2024-09-22 Last updated: 2024-09-25Bibliographically approved
5. Modeling of road traffic flows in the neighboring regions
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Modeling of road traffic flows in the neighboring regions
Show others...
2021 (English)In: Procedia Computer Science / [ed] Shakshuki E., Yasar A., Elsevier, 2021, p. 43-50Conference paper, Published paper (Refereed)
Abstract [en]

Traffic flows play a very important role in transportation engineering. In particular, link flows are a source of information about the traffic state, which is usually available from the authorities that manage road networks. Link flows are commonly used in both short-term and long-term planning models for operation and maintenance, and to forecast the future needs of transportation infrastructure. In this paper, we propose a model to study how traffic flow in one location can be expected to reflect the traffic flow in a nearby region. The statistical basis of the model is derived from link flows to find estimates of the distribution of traffic flows in junctions. The model is evaluated in a numerical study, which uses real link flow data from a transportation network in southern Sweden. The results indicate that the model may be useful for studying how large departing flows from a node reflect the link flows in a neighboring geographic region. 

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Elsevier, 2021
Series
Procedia Computer Science, E-ISSN 1877-0509 ; 198
Keywords
link flows, traffic volumes, flow distribution, flow estimation, transportation network
National Category
Transport Systems and Logistics
Research subject
Mathematics and applications
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:bth-22071 (URN)10.1016/j.procs.2021.12.209 (DOI)2-s2.0-85124595881 (Scopus ID)
Conference
The 12th International Conference on Emerging Ubiquitous Systems and Pervasive Networks (EUSPN), Leuven, Belgium, November 1-4, 2021
Note

open access

Available from: 2021-09-01 Created: 2021-09-01 Last updated: 2024-09-25Bibliographically approved
6. On the use of active mobile and stationary devices for detailed traffic data collection: A simulation-based evaluation
Open this publication in new window or tab >>On the use of active mobile and stationary devices for detailed traffic data collection: A simulation-based evaluation
2021 (English)In: International Journal of Traffic and Transportation Management, ISSN 2371-5782, Vol. 3, no 1, p. 1-9Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

The process of collecting traffic data is a key component to evaluate the current state of a transportation network and to analyze movements of vehicles. In this paper, we argue that both active stationary and mobile measurement devices should be taken into account for high-quality traffic data with sufficient geographic coverage. Stationary devices are able to collect data over time at certain locations in the network and mobile devices are able to gather data over large geographic regions. Hence, the two types of measurement devices have complementary properties and should be used in conjunction with each other in the data collection process. To evaluate the complementary characteristics of stationary and mobile devices for traffic data collection, we present a traffic simulation model, which we use to study the share of successfully identified vehicles when using both types of devices with varying identification rate. The results from our simulation study, using freight transport in southern Sweden, shows that the share of successfully identified vehicles can be significantly improved by using both stationary and mobile measurement devices.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
The International Association for Sharing Knowledge and Sustainability (IASKS), 2021
Keywords
Traffic data collection, stationary devices, mobile devices, traffic simulation
National Category
Transport Systems and Logistics
Research subject
Mathematics and applications
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:bth-21315 (URN)10.5383/JTTM.03.01.001 (DOI)
Available from: 2021-04-03 Created: 2021-04-03 Last updated: 2024-09-25Bibliographically approved
7. Significant Route Identification using Daily 24-hour Traffic Flows
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Significant Route Identification using Daily 24-hour Traffic Flows
2020 (English)In: 2020 IEEE 23rd International Conference on Intelligent Transportation Systems, ITSC 2020, Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc. , 2020, article id 9294400Conference paper, Published paper (Refereed)
Abstract [en]

Traffic flow estimates play a key role in traffic network management and planning of transportation networks. Commonly it is the average daily traffic (ADT) flow for different road segments that constitute the data. This paper shows how an advanced and detailed analysis based on hourly flow measurements over the day can contribute to a deeper understanding of how hourly flows together reflect the vehicles' routes. The proposed method identifies the shortest travel time paths between all possible origins and destinations in a transportation network, and thereafter it identifies the most significant routes in the network by performing statistical tests. For this purpose, the paper presents a mathematical model, a vehicle simulator based on this model, and a statistical framework that is able to find the most probable underlying routes. The paper contains a real test scenario based on 24-hour traffic flows (hour by hour) to demonstrate the applicability of the method. © 2020 IEEE.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc., 2020
Keywords
Simulation and Modeling, Travel Behavior Under ITS, Intelligent systems, Intelligent vehicle highway systems, Traffic control, Travel time, Average daily traffics, Road segments, Shortest travel time, Statistical framework, Test scenario, Traffic network managements, Transportation network, Vehicle simulators, Transportation routes
National Category
Transport Systems and Logistics
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:bth-20996 (URN)10.1109/ITSC45102.2020.9294400 (DOI)000682770701062 ()2-s2.0-85099648059 (Scopus ID)9781728141497 (ISBN)
Conference
23rd IEEE International Conference on Intelligent Transportation Systems, ITSC 2020, Rhodes, Greece 20 September 2020 through 23 September 2020
Funder
Swedish Transport Administration
Available from: 2021-02-01 Created: 2021-02-01 Last updated: 2024-09-25Bibliographically approved

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  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
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  • nn-NO
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