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Measuring Travel Time Reliability using Median-Based Misery Index
Blekinge Institute of Technology, Faculty of Engineering, Department of Mathematics and Natural Sciences.ORCID iD: 0009-0007-0868-9868
Malmö universitet.
Blekinge Institute of Technology, Faculty of Engineering, Department of Mathematics and Natural Sciences.ORCID iD: 0000-0003-3707-2780
Blekinge Institute of Technology, Faculty of Engineering, Department of Mathematics and Natural Sciences.ORCID iD: 0000-0003-3824-0942
(English)Manuscript (preprint) (Other academic)
Abstract [en]

Travel times and travel time reliability are important indicators of the traffic state in a transportation system. Analyzing travel times and their reliability and how they vary over time makes it possible to identify existing road network deficiencies or deficiencies that may eventually occur unless necessary actions are taken. Road network deficiencies, such as inadequate road capacity or substandard road design, typically lead to congestion and trip delays for road users. A novel median-based misery index is proposed to highlight potential road network deficiencies in the transportation system. The proposed index offers a way to gauge travel time reliability, providing valuable insights into roads where improvements may be needed. The newly developed median-based misery index operates by computing the relative disparity between slow travel speeds and free-flow travel speeds. The median-based misery index is more robust to skewed distributions of travel times than the ordinary misery index. Our empirical case study includes a spatiotemporal analysis of travel speed data from a section of the European route E4 in Sweden. The case study results show that the new index may be used to detect peak periods when the traffic conditions for road users have deteriorated.

National Category
Transport Systems and Logistics
Research subject
Systems Engineering; Systems Engineering
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:bth-26933OAI: oai:DiVA.org:bth-26933DiVA, id: diva2:1900023
Funder
Swedish Transport AdministrationAvailable from: 2024-09-22 Created: 2024-09-22 Last updated: 2024-09-25Bibliographically approved
In thesis
1. Data-Driven Modeling of Transportation Systems: Methodological Approaches and Real World Applications
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Data-Driven Modeling of Transportation Systems: Methodological Approaches and Real World Applications
2024 (English)Doctoral thesis, comprehensive summary (Other academic)
Abstract [en]

Traffic analysis is vital for enhancing the performance of transportation systems, where continuous evaluation of traffic states helps responsible road authorities detect and address issues. High-quality traffic data is key to analysis, as it aids in planning and investments. Traditionally, traffic data collection has been costly and limited. Nowadays, connected vehicles and mobile phones have transformed this process, enabling traffic data collection across large geographic regions without the need for dedicated measurement devices. The availability of large-scale and detailed traffic data allows for in-depth analysis using mathematical models. This thesis develops models to utilize available traffic data for transportation system improvements, aiming to enhance traffic conditions and road user experience. It utilizes data from link flows and travel times, applying models over large geographic areas. The thesis addresses transportation engineering issues through data-driven methods. The thesis proposes two methods for allocating electric vehicle charging stations using optimization and route sampling techniques. It introduces a new index for assessing travel time reliability. It shows how clustering analysis of descriptive travel time statistics can be used to detect different traffic states. Furthermore, this thesis presents a statistical model to estimate link flow propagation using measured link flow data, analyzing traffic influence across surrounding areas. The thesis also uses traffic simulation, focusing on combining speed cameras and probe vehicles for data collection and developing a model to identify probable routes based on hourly link flows. The thesis results highlight the importance of data-driven models in optimizing transportation systems and improving road user travel experiences.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Karlskrona: Blekinge Tekniska Högskola, 2024. p. 232
Series
Blekinge Institute of Technology Doctoral Dissertation Series, ISSN 1653-2090 ; 2024:14
Keywords
traffic analysis, data-driven models, mathematical models, link flow data, travel time data
National Category
Transport Systems and Logistics
Research subject
Systems Engineering
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:bth-26902 (URN)978-91-7295-487-8 (ISBN)
Public defence
2024-11-14, J1630, Valhallavägen 1, Karlskrona, 09:00 (English)
Opponent
Supervisors
Available from: 2024-09-25 Created: 2024-09-11 Last updated: 2024-10-14Bibliographically approved

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Fredriksson, HenrikDahl, MattiasLövström, Benny

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