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Using Transformers for B2B Contractual Churn Prediction Based on Customer Behavior Data
Blekinge Institute of Technology, Faculty of Computing, Department of Computer Science. Telenor Sweden AB, Karlskrona, Sweden.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-0179-5090
Blekinge Institute of Technology, Faculty of Computing, Department of Computer Science.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-8929-7220
Blekinge Institute of Technology, Faculty of Computing, Department of Computer Science.ORCID iD: 0000-0001-9947-1088
Blekinge Institute of Technology, Faculty of Computing, Department of Computer Science.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-9316-4842
2025 (English)In: International Conference on Enterprise Information Systems, ICEIS - Proceedings: Volume 1 / [ed] Filipe J., Smialek M., Brodsky A., Hammoudi S., SciTePress, 2025, p. 562-571Conference paper, Published paper (Refereed)
Abstract [en]

In the competitive business-to-business (B2B) landscape, retaining clients is critical to sustaining growth, yet customer churn presents substantial challenges. This paper presents a novel approach to customer churn prediction using a modified Transformer architecture tailored to multivariate time-series data. We suggest that analyzing customer behavior patterns over time can indicate potential churn. Our findings suggest that while uncertainty remains high, the proposed model performs competitively against existing methods. The Transformer architecture achieves a top decile lift of almost 5 and 0.77 AUC. We assess the model’s confidence by employing conformal prediction, providing valuable insights for targeted anti-churn campaigns. This work highlights the potential of Transformers to address churn dynamics, offering a scalable solution to identify at-risk customers and inform strategic retention efforts in B2B contexts.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
SciTePress, 2025. p. 562-571
Series
International Conference on Enterprise Information Systems (ICEIS), E-ISSN 2184-4992
Keywords [en]
Churn prediction, B2B, Machine learning, Time-series data, Telecommunication, Conformal prediction
National Category
Computer Sciences
Research subject
Computer Science; Computer Science
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:bth-27614DOI: 10.5220/0013432500003929Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-105019527699ISBN: 9789897587498 (print)OAI: oai:DiVA.org:bth-27614DiVA, id: diva2:1945208
Conference
27th International Conference on Enterprise Information Systems, ICEIS 2025, Porto, Apr 4-6, 2025
Note

This work was partially funded by Telenor Sverige AB.

Available from: 2025-03-18 Created: 2025-03-18 Last updated: 2025-11-03Bibliographically approved
In thesis
1. Artificial Intelligence for Enhanced B2B Customer Lifecycle Management in Telecommunications
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Artificial Intelligence for Enhanced B2B Customer Lifecycle Management in Telecommunications
2025 (English)Licentiate thesis, comprehensive summary (Other academic)
Abstract [en]

This work investigates the integration of artificial intelligence (AI) into customer lifecycle management (CLM) with a specific focus on business-to-business (B2B) customers within the telecommunications sector. The research highlights the importance of effectively managing customer expectations and experiences across various stages of their relationship with a company, from brand recognition to potential churn. It emphasizes the need for businesses to leverage AI to enhance decision-making, personalize customer journeys, and optimize customer lifetime value to stay competitive in saturated markets. 

We conducted a literature review to provide a more complete view of AI in CLM and to identify research gaps, particularly in practical AI implementations aimed at improving customer lifecycles. The work aims to provide actionable insights and models applicable to organizations seeking to utilize AI in their CLM strategies. We employed an empirical approach to evaluate our proposed methods and AI models, which showed a good capability in predicting churn in B2B, email response time in customer service, and non-routing email detection. Throughout this work, we have taken a practical approach and based all work on real-world data to demonstrate a potential business impact.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Karlskrona: Blekinge Tekniska Högskola, 2025
Series
Blekinge Institute of Technology Licentiate Dissertation Series, ISSN 1650-2140 ; 2025:05
Keywords
Artificial Intelligence, Machine Learning, Customer Lifecycle Management, Telecommunications, Buisiness-to-Business
National Category
Computer Sciences
Research subject
Computer Science
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:bth-27615 (URN)978-91-7295-499-1 (ISBN)
Presentation
2025-05-14, C413A, Valhallavägen 1, Karlskrona, 13:15
Opponent
Supervisors
Available from: 2025-03-21 Created: 2025-03-18 Last updated: 2025-09-30Bibliographically approved

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Ahlstrand, JimBorg, AntonGrahn, HåkanBoldt, Martin

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