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AI-Based Hydrogen Demand Prediction: A Hybrid LSTM-XGBoost Approach
Blekinge Institute of Technology, Faculty of Engineering, Department of Industrial Economics.
Blekinge Institute of Technology, Faculty of Engineering, Department of Industrial Economics.
2025 (English)Independent thesis Advanced level (degree of Master (One Year)), 10 credits / 15 HE creditsStudent thesis
Abstract [en]

This thesis presents a cutting-edge hybrid artificial intelligence model that integrates LSTM networks with XGBoost to predict hydrogen demand, using Germany as the focal case study. This innovative approach effectively captures complex temporal dependencies and macroeconomic influences, outperforming traditional forecasting methods by modeling both short-term volatility and long-term trends. The model demonstrates outstanding predictive accuracy (R² = 0.9956; MAPE = 1.15%), enabling a detailed analysis of hydrogen demand dynamics. Its practical relevance lies in optimizing hydrogen supply chains, reducing investment risk, and informing infrastructure planning aligned with the EU’s green transition strategy. By providing a scalable, adaptable, and data-driven framework, the model supports evidence-based policymaking, fosters innovation, and contributes to the achievement of decarbonization targets. Ultimately, this research enhances strategic decision-making for industry and the public sector, advancing sustainability and operational efficiency in the rapidly evolving hydrogen economy.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2025. , p. 54
Keywords [en]
AI, LSTM, XGBoost, Regression, Hydrogen Demand Forecasting, Temporal Feature Engineering, EU Hydrogen Strategy, Decarbonization
National Category
Industrial engineering and management
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:bth-28166OAI: oai:DiVA.org:bth-28166DiVA, id: diva2:1974627
Subject / course
IY2656 Master's Thesis MBA 15.0 hp
Educational program
IYAMP MBA programme, 60 hp
Supervisors
Examiners
Available from: 2025-06-24 Created: 2025-06-23 Last updated: 2025-10-22Bibliographically approved

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