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Changeability Assessment in Systems during Early Design
Blekinge Institute of Technology, Faculty of Engineering, Department of Mechanical Engineering.ORCID iD: 0000-0001-7581-439x
Blekinge Institute of Technology, Faculty of Engineering, Department of Mechanical Engineering.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-2579-2310
Blekinge Institute of Technology, Faculty of Engineering, Department of Mechanical Engineering.ORCID iD: 0000-0001-5114-4811
Volvo Construction Equipment, Research & Development, Eskilstuna, Sweden.
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2025 (English)In: Journal of engineering design (Print), ISSN 0954-4828, E-ISSN 1466-1837Article in journal (Refereed) Epub ahead of print
Abstract [en]

Increased stakeholder expectations and tougher global competition push the manufacturing industries to develop more complex solutions, introducing numerous uncertainties in design decision-making. Incorporating changeability is one way to systematically deal with uncertainty, which requires dealing with the identification, valuation, and quantification of changeability during the early design stages. Besides, when considering a system-of-systems (SoS) problem, it necessitates optimizing the portfolio of options within the SoS while considering the transition “in” and “of” the system combinatorially. In this light, this paper presents the Changeability Assessment in Systems during Early Design (CASED) method for development teams to create value-robust systems in the face of uncertainty. The CASED method utilizes epochs and eras to represent uncertainty and analyzes the impact of changing system configurations and control policies on overall system value. Considering transitions “in” and “of” the system involves solving a linear assignment problem to minimize the switch costs. A dynamic programming procedure for an era finds the avenues when change shall be exercised. Iterating through several eras, a map of the expected mean value and expected standard deviation is generated for all designs, which serves as a guide for decisions concerning changeability. The applicability of the method is further confirmed through a fleet of haulers operating in a quarry.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Taylor & Francis, 2025.
Keywords [en]
Uncertainty, Changeability, Value robustness, Early design stages, Systems Engineering
National Category
Production Engineering, Human Work Science and Ergonomics
Research subject
Mechanical Engineering
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:bth-28427DOI: 10.1080/09544828.2025.2588549ISI: 001614460200001Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-105022020317OAI: oai:DiVA.org:bth-28427DiVA, id: diva2:1986135
Projects
Tested Site Optimization Solutions (Tested-SOS)
Part of project
TRUST-SOS – TRUSTed – Site Optimisation Solutions, VinnovaFuture Fossil Free Rock Loading Solution, Vinnova
Funder
Vinnova, 2021-02551Vinnova, 2022-00578Vinnova, 2024-03678Available from: 2025-07-30 Created: 2025-07-30 Last updated: 2025-11-28Bibliographically approved
In thesis
1. Changeability Assessment in Complex Systems to Support Early-Stage Design Decisions
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Changeability Assessment in Complex Systems to Support Early-Stage Design Decisions
2025 (English)Doctoral thesis, comprehensive summary (Other academic)
Abstract [en]

The early design phase of complex, capital-intensive systems is critical for shaping their architecture and value proposition. However, such systems face numerous challenges from technological, economic, market, and regulatory domains. In addition, considering system-of-systems introduces new hurdles as the focus shifts from measuring performance to assessing overall effectiveness. Together with the growing trend of servitization, where traditional products are combined with value-added services to deliver functions, a lot of uncertainty is introduced during design decision-making. To handle these uncertainties, systems engineering literature advocates for incorporating lifecycle properties into the system that enable the system to deal with these uncertainties once deployed. Systems that consistently meet evolving stakeholder expectations, despite the changing contexts, are called value-robust systems. Changeability is one such property that allows the system to achieve value robustness by changing internally in response to changes externally. During the design stages, the goal is to identify and integrate options that would enable the system to exercise change and sustain value under all conditions.

In this light, this thesis aims to support the integration of changeability in complex systems by facilitating its assessment during the early design stages. To achieve this goal, it first identifies the existing methods and challenges in changeability assessment for achieving value robustness. To address these challenges, it proposes the Changeability Assessment in Systems during Early Design (CASED) method, which supports development teams in creating value-robust systems in the face of uncertainty. CASED is one of the core contributions of this work, allowing a holistic consideration of identification, quantification, and valuation of changeability during early design stages. It maps the expected mean value and expected standard deviation for each design as a function of changeability level, which serves as a guide for decisions concerning changeability. Additionally, this thesis explores the use of Extended Reality technologies to address perceptual complexity by visualizing operational scenarios and proposes designing for changeability as a mechanism for creating value-robust circular systems.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Karlskrona: Blekinge Tekniska Högskola, 2025. p. 100
Series
Blekinge Institute of Technology Doctoral Dissertation Series, ISSN 1653-2090 ; 2025:09
Keywords
Uncertainty, Changeability assessment, Value robustness, Early design stages, Systems Engineering, Product-Service Systems
National Category
Mechanical Engineering
Research subject
Mechanical Engineering
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:bth-28429 (URN)978-91-7295-507-3 (ISBN)
Public defence
2025-09-18, J1630, Campus Gräsvik, Karlskrona, 09:15 (English)
Opponent
Supervisors
Available from: 2025-08-11 Created: 2025-07-30 Last updated: 2025-09-30Bibliographically approved

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Machchhar, Raj JitenToller Melén, Carl Nils KonradBertoni, Alessandro

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