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Model-driven scope 3 upstream (procurement) CO2 emission calculation for the design space exploration of maritime vessels
Blekinge Institute of Technology, Faculty of Engineering, Department of Mechanical Engineering.ORCID iD: 0009-0006-4025-9799
Blekinge Institute of Technology, Faculty of Engineering, Department of Mechanical Engineering.ORCID iD: 0000-0001-5114-4811
2025 (English)In: Proceedings of the Design Society: Volume 5: ICED25 / [ed] di Milano P., Cambridge University Press, 2025, p. 2451-2460Conference paper, Published paper (Refereed)
Abstract [en]

The marine industry is increasingly adopting platform and modular design strategies while facing growing sustainability regulations and emission constraints. This paper proposes an approach that integrates scope 3 upstream CO2 emissions (i.e., procurement) into a Decision Support Environment (DSE) for design space exploration of alternative modular ship design concepts. The DSE, deployed in the conceptual design stage, enables simultaneous testing of various cruise ship configurations regarding CO2 emissions using a bottom-up approach with parametric CO2 models. It leverages data-driven models from existing databases or AI-generated data exemplified in a case study on the hotel system of a cruise ship, illustrating how parametric design variables influence CO2 emissions, demonstrating a preliminary result of a prescriptive study in collaboration with a major international ship manufacturer.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Cambridge University Press, 2025. p. 2451-2460
Series
Proceedings of the Design Society, ISSN 2732-527X
Keywords [en]
Decision making, Sustainability, Early design phases
National Category
Vehicle and Aerospace Engineering Design
Research subject
Mechanical Engineering
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:bth-28433DOI: 10.1017/pds.2025.10259Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-105022807585OAI: oai:DiVA.org:bth-28433DiVA, id: diva2:1986770
Conference
25th International Conference on Engineering Design, ICED 2025, Dallas, Aug 11-14, 2025
Available from: 2025-08-04 Created: 2025-08-04 Last updated: 2025-12-05Bibliographically approved
In thesis
1. Model-Driven Design Decision Support Systems for Complex Engineering Systems: Challenges in Early-Design Stages
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Model-Driven Design Decision Support Systems for Complex Engineering Systems: Challenges in Early-Design Stages
2025 (English)Licentiate thesis, comprehensive summary (Other academic)
Abstract [en]

Early-stage design decisions in complex engineering systems play a critical role in defining the system’s lifecycle performance, cost, and viability. As engineering systems are becoming increasingly interconnected, cyber-physical and multi-disciplinary, traditional decision-making approaches based on historical data and expert judgments often fall short. To navigate the early-stage design decision challenges and support better decision-making, model-driven decision support systems have emerged as promising tools that allow for integration of simulations, optimization, and data-driven models. Yet, in the context of complex engineering systems, the effective implementation of decision support systems remains limited due to socio-technical challenges. 

This thesis systematically investigates and identifies challenges through a literature review and empirical case studies in an industrial setting. The research identified interrelated barriers that hinder effective decision support systems integration and utilization. First, difficulty in integrating heterogeneous simulation models across varying levels of granularity remains technically and methodologically challenging. Second, the uneven maturity level of decision support systems across engineering domains limits their consistent use in collaborative environments. Third, a lack of accessible and intuitive interfaces negatively impacts the usability for non-expert stakeholders. Fourth, the absence of a real-time feedback mechanism limits their function as a boundary object. Fifth, the lack of metrics to gauge and communicate model maturity and reliability creates risks for misinformed decisions. Lastly, the lack of lifecycle management, including evolution, traceability, and reliability of the underlying models, is rarely supported, which undermines long-term sustainability and trust in the decision support systems.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Karlskrona: Blekinge Tekniska Högskola, 2025. p. 122
Series
Blekinge Institute of Technology Licentiate Dissertation Series, ISSN 1650-2140 ; 2025:07
Keywords
Decision-support-systems, model-driven, decision-making, systems engineering
National Category
Mechanical Engineering
Research subject
Mechanical Engineering
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:bth-28436 (URN)978-91-7295-505-9 (ISBN)
Presentation
2025-09-17, G340, Blekinge Institute of Technology, Karlskrona, 13:00 (English)
Opponent
Supervisors
Available from: 2025-08-11 Created: 2025-08-04 Last updated: 2025-09-30Bibliographically approved

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Rehman, Mubeen URBertoni, Alessandro

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