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HEAT: Hierarchical-constrained Encoder-Assisted Time series clustering for fault detection in district heating substations
Blekinge Institute of Technology, Faculty of Computing, Department of Computer Science.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-5229-1140
Blekinge Institute of Technology, Faculty of Computing, Department of Computer Science.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-4390-411X
Blekinge Institute of Technology, Faculty of Computing, Department of Software Engineering.ORCID iD: 0000-0001-9336-4361
Blekinge Institute of Technology, Faculty of Computing, Department of Computer Science.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-6309-2892
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2025 (English)In: Energy and AI, E-ISSN 2666-5468, Vol. 21, article id 100548Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Fault detection in district heating (DH) substations is crucial for maintaining energy efficiency. However, existing methods often fall short and rely on labelled data or global analysis that may miss subtle anomalies. We introduce HEAT, a Hierarchical-constrained Encoder-Assisted Time series clustering method designed to enhance fault detection in DH substations. HEAT operates in a two-phase approach: first, it approximates a relative network topology using a constraint hierarchical clustering algorithm on supply temperature profiles. HEAT incorporates a Convolutional AutoEncoder (CAE) for dimensionality reduction of the time series data and uses adaptive soft constraints in the linkage function, enabling both minimum and maximum cluster size constraints while supporting domain knowledge, e.g., must-link and cannot-link constraints, using a constraint matrix. Second, we use the topology approximation to perform intra-cluster analysis using Mean Absolute Deviation (MAD) z-scores, with neighbouring substations serving as a validation mechanism, allowing for robust analysis without requiring labelled data. Experimental results demonstrate that HEAT outperforms conventional clustering methods while achieving 74.1% sensitivity and 95.5% specificity in fault detection, significantly improving over typical global analysis. HEAT not only identified major faults (e.g., sensor issues, valve failures) but also detected subtle anomalies (e.g., secondary leakages) while minimising false positives. This unsupervised method offers a viable and flexible solution for DH networks, improving operational efficiency and energy sustainability without disclosing sensitive information.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Elsevier, 2025. Vol. 21, article id 100548
Keywords [en]
Clustering, Semi-supervised learning, Fault detection, District heating
National Category
Computer Sciences Energy Engineering
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:bth-28499DOI: 10.1016/j.egyai.2025.100548ISI: 001533719400001Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-105010561118OAI: oai:DiVA.org:bth-28499DiVA, id: diva2:1989588
Available from: 2025-08-18 Created: 2025-08-18 Last updated: 2026-04-15Bibliographically approved
In thesis
1. Learning-based Fault Detection and Diagnosis in District Heating Substations
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Learning-based Fault Detection and Diagnosis in District Heating Substations
2026 (English)Doctoral thesis, comprehensive summary (Other academic)
Abstract [en]

District heating (DH) networks are vital in the transition to sustainable energy systems. Maintaining their performance requires continuous monitoring to reduce heat losses, avoid user discomfort, and support efficient operation. However, automatic fault detection and diagnosis (FDD) in DH substations remains challenging due to limited labelled data, class imbalance, heterogeneous operating conditions, privacy constraints, and the lack of standardisation. This thesis aims to develop learning-based approaches for automatic FDD in DH substations that can operate under these real-world industry constraints. Therefore, this work focuses on scalable representations, transferability across domains, and robustness against scarce and imbalanced fault data, and includes eight studies that jointly develop and validate learning-based FDD methods for DH substations. Across these studies, the work advances unsupervised locality-based anomaly detection, hybrid and augmentation-enhanced fault diagnosis, transfer and cross-modal learning for label-scarce settings, privacy-preserving semi-supervised federated learning, and streaming representations for continuous fleet-scale monitoring. The results demonstrate that reliable, scalable FDD in DH systems can be achieved despite severe field constraints. By combining topology inference for local analysis, data representation, knowledge transfer and data augmentation, this thesis advances practical, deployable FDD intelligence to support more resilient, efficient, and data-smart DH networks aligned with the climate and digitalisation goals.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Karlskrona: Blekinge Tekniska Högskola, 2026. p. 266
Series
Blekinge Institute of Technology Doctoral Dissertation Series, ISSN 1653-2090 ; 2026:07
Keywords
district heating, fault detection and diagnosis, time series analysis, machine learning, deep learning
National Category
Computer Sciences
Research subject
Computer Science
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:bth-29395 (URN)978-91-7295-528-8 (ISBN)
Public defence
2026-06-02, J1630, Campus Gräsvik, Karlskrona, 10:00 (English)
Opponent
Supervisors
Available from: 2026-04-17 Created: 2026-04-15 Last updated: 2026-05-11Bibliographically approved

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van Dreven, JonneCheddad, AbbasGhazi, Ahmad NaumanAlawadi, Sadi

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