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Equatorial Plasma Bubbles Detection and Localisation Using GNSS Radio Occultation Signals: A Metop datasets study
Blekinge Institute of Technology, Faculty of Engineering, Department of Mathematics and Natural Sciences. (Systems Engineering)ORCID iD: 0009-0007-3574-5626
2026 (English)Licentiate thesis, comprehensive summary (Other academic)
Abstract [en]

The ionosphere is a highly dynamic plasma region of Earth's upper atmosphere that profoundly impacts the propagation of trans-ionospheric radio waves. Because it can refract, diffract, or scatter radio waves, understanding its state and structure is critical to the reliability of modern satellite-based communication and navigation systems.

Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) Radio Occultation (RO) is a limb-sounding technique that exploits signals transmitted by GNSS constellations and received by Low Earth Orbit (LEO) satellites. While traditionally used to retrieve neutral atmosphere thermodynamics, GNSS-RO signal is highly sensitive to ionospheric electron density gradients and the rapid signal amplitude and phase fluctuations, known as scintillation, caused by plasma irregularities.

This licentiate thesis focuses on the equatorial ionosphere, specifically targeting the detection and three-dimensional localization of Equatorial Plasma Bubbles (EPBs). Utilizing GNSS-RO measurements from the GRAS receivers onboard the Metop satellite constellation, a segmented wave-optics back-propagation algorithm is developed to localise the ionospheric irregularities responsible for signal scintillation along the ray path. The retrieved locations are subsequently converted into geodetic coordinates and independently validated against far-ultraviolet airglow observations. Finally, this methodology is scaled to automate detection and produce a comprehensive study of EPB occurrence, advancing the understanding of low-latitude ionospheric electrodynamics and the spatial distribution of space weather hazards.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Karlskrona: Blekinge Tekniska Högskola, 2026. , p. 88
Series
Blekinge Institute of Technology Licentiate Dissertation Series, ISSN 1650-2140 ; 2026:05
Keywords [en]
GNSS, Radio-occultation, Ionosphere, Equatorial plasma bubbles, Scintillation, remote sensing, machine learning, satellite imaging
National Category
Meteorology and Atmospheric Sciences Signal Processing Earth Observation
Research subject
Applied Signal Processing
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:bth-29511ISBN: 978-91-7295-530-1 (print)OAI: oai:DiVA.org:bth-29511DiVA, id: diva2:2061108
Presentation
2026-09-04, J1630, BTH, Karlskrona, 09:00 (English)
Opponent
Supervisors
Available from: 2026-05-29 Created: 2026-05-20 Last updated: 2026-08-04Bibliographically approved
List of papers
1. Back Propagation Method for the Determination of the Vertical Location of Ionospheric Irregularities
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Back Propagation Method for the Determination of the Vertical Location of Ionospheric Irregularities
2024 (English)In: Proceedings of the 37th International Technical Meeting of the Satellite Division of The Institute of Navigation (ION GNSS+ 2024), The Institute of Navigation (ION) , 2024, p. 3029-3037Conference paper, Published paper (Refereed)
Abstract [en]

This study presents a new back-propagation (BP) method to determine the vertical location of ionospheric irregularities using GNSS Radio Occultation (GNSS-RO) signals. GNSS-RO employs signals from GNSS satellites intercepted by Low Earth Orbit (LEO) satellites to gather data about different atmospheric layers, e.g., the ionosphere, which are crucial for weather prediction and studying ionospheric dynamics. The BP method involves computing diffractive integrals along the LEO path to identify disturbances such as sporadic E-layer clouds and equatorial plasma bubbles (EPBs). By effectively unwinding diffraction and multipath effects, the method pinpoints regions with minimal amplitude disturbance, indicating the location of ionospheric irregularities along the ray path. Beside estimates along the horizontal axis, case studies demonstrate the new method's capabilities in locating and estimating the vertical extent of these irregularities, showing its potential to enhance ionospheric modelling and forecasting. Results achieved show consistency with previous publications on the topic as well as methodologies used to locate ionospheric irregularities, allowing the presented method a better picture of the ionospheric irregularity.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
The Institute of Navigation (ION), 2024
Series
Proceedings of the Satellite Division's International Technical Meeting, ISSN 2331-5911, E-ISSN 2331-5954
Keywords
GNSS-RO, Ionosphere, Scintillation, EPB, Radio-occultation
National Category
Meteorology and Atmospheric Sciences Earth Observation
Research subject
Telecommunication Systems; Systems Engineering
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:bth-27160 (URN)10.33012/2024.19755 (DOI)9780936406398 (ISBN)
Conference
37th International Technical Meeting of the Satellite Division of The Institute of Navigation (ION GNSS+ 2024), Baltimore, Sept 16-20, 2024
Available from: 2024-11-26 Created: 2024-11-26 Last updated: 2026-05-25Bibliographically approved
2. Advancing GNSS-RO Detection of Ionospheric Irregularities Using Refined Back Propagation and GOLD Data
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Advancing GNSS-RO Detection of Ionospheric Irregularities Using Refined Back Propagation and GOLD Data
Show others...
2025 (English)In: 2025 URSI Asia-Pacific Radio Science Meeting, AP-RASC 2025, Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE), 2025Conference paper, Published paper (Refereed)
Abstract [en]

This paper investigates on the detection and localization of ionospheric irregularities using GNSS Radio Occultation (GNSS-RO). We propose a new segmented phase screen (PS) approach to improve vertical and horizontal localization and remove the presence of outliers. The study focused on the May 2024 geomagnetic solar storm is presented, consisting of a comparison of the GNSS-RO back propagation (BP) irregularity positioning against the data of NASA’s Globalscale Observations of the Limb and Disk (GOLD) mission. This study is performed for validation purposes and examines the presence of equatorial plasma bubbles (EPBs) at predicted locations. Experimental RO data from EUMETSAT’s MetOp satellites is used to demonstrate the method’s capability to characterize the distribution of ionospheric irregularities. Results validate the segmented approach's capabilities of detecting irregularity structures and identifying their centroids with improved performance compared with the previous version of the algorithm. 

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE), 2025
Keywords
GNSS-RO, Ionosphere, Scintillation, EPB, Radio-occultation
National Category
Earth Observation Meteorology and Atmospheric Sciences
Research subject
Telecommunication Systems
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:bth-28635 (URN)10.46620/URSIAPRASC25/ZUCD7082 (DOI)001706501600003 ()2-s2.0-105019958369 (Scopus ID)9789463968157 (ISBN)
Conference
URSI Asia-Pacific Radio Science Meeting, AP-RASC 2025, Sydney, Aug 17-22, 2025
Available from: 2025-09-19 Created: 2025-09-19 Last updated: 2026-06-05Bibliographically approved
3. Deep Learning Based Detection of EPBs in GOLD Airglow Images Towards GNSS-RO Back Propagation Validation
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Deep Learning Based Detection of EPBs in GOLD Airglow Images Towards GNSS-RO Back Propagation Validation
2025 (English)In: Proceedings of the 38th International Technical Meeting of the Satellite Division of The Institute of Navigation, ION GNSS+ 2025, Institute of Navigation, 2025, p. 3369-3376Conference paper, Published paper (Refereed)
Abstract [en]

This study investigates the potential of machine learning techniques for detecting Equatorial Plasma Bubbles (EPBs) using nighttime airglow imagery from the Global-scale Observations of the Limb and Disk (GOLD) mission. EPBs are ionospheric irregularities characterized by significant plasma density depletions that disrupt trans-ionospheric radio wave propagation, affecting satellite navigation and communication systems. We propose and implement a convolutional encoder-decoder neural network specifically designed for precise pixel-level segmentation of EPB structures within GOLD’s 135.6 nm radiance images. The convolutional neural network demonstrated remarkable performance, achieving high precision and recall, successfully detecting prominent EPBs as well as subtle features overlooked in manual annotations. Results also reveal the network’s capability to generalize beyond explicitly labeled data, indicating its robustness in capturing intricate EPB morphologies. Additionally, a preliminary cross-validation was conducted using GNSS Radio Occultation (RO) data, which showed promising correspondence with the EPB locations identified by the machine learning algorithm. This supports the value of integrating deep learning methods with GNSS-RO techniques to achieve comprehensive global detection and validation of EPBs.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Institute of Navigation, 2025
Series
Proceedings of the Satellite Division's International Technical Meeting, ISSN 2331-5911, E-ISSN 2331-5954
Keywords
Machine Learning, Deep Learning, GOLD images, Satellite imaging, GNSS-RO, Remote sensing
National Category
Earth Observation
Research subject
Applied Signal Processing
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:bth-28707 (URN)10.33012/2025.20392 (DOI)2-s2.0-105030247720 (Scopus ID)
Conference
38th International Technical Meeting of the Satellite Division of The Institute of Navigation, ION GNSS+ 2025, Baltimore, Sept 8-12, 2025
Available from: 2025-10-02 Created: 2025-10-02 Last updated: 2026-05-20Bibliographically approved
4. Temporal Title
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Temporal Title
(English)Manuscript (preprint) (Other academic)
Keywords
GNSS-RO, Ionosphere, Scintillation, EPB, Radio-occultation
National Category
Signal Processing Meteorology and Atmospheric Sciences
Research subject
Systems Engineering; Applied Signal Processing
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:bth-29507 (URN)
Available from: 2026-05-19 Created: 2026-05-19 Last updated: 2026-06-05Bibliographically approved

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